Game Research

Curated MLB betting notes with live lineup & matchup context.

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AZ @ MIA
5:40 PM · loanDepot park
Otto Lopez H+R+RBI OVER 1.5 strong
✓ In lineup (2nd) Opp D: #8/30 HRR allowed (4.4/g) Opp SP: Ryne Nelson (R) · 4.97 ERA · 1.24 WHIP · 6.7 K/9 Hit rates (OVER 1.5): 66.7% SZN · 40% L5 · 40% L10 (99 g)
“Otto Lopez ranks #10 of 413 batters for HRR and has went over 1.5 HRR 80% of the time in his L5 and 70% in his L10 games. He hits in the top of the order so should get an extra PA. He's facing Ryne Nelson who has a 4.6 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. He also has a 41.8 Hard Hit according to statcast, so batters are seeing the ball well.”
STL @ NYM
6:10 PM · Citi Field
Alec Burleson H+R+RBI OVER 1.5 strong
✓ In lineup (3rd) Opp D: #20/30 HRR allowed (4.17/g) Opp SP: Austin Warren (R) · 4.63 ERA · 1.49 WHIP · 9.5 K/9 Hit rates (OVER 1.5): 59% SZN · 60% L5 · 60% L10 (100 g)
“Alec Burleson has went over 1.5 HRR 100% of the time in his L5 and 80% in his L10 games. He hits in the top of the order so should get an extra PA.”
WSH @ SF
2:45 PM · Oracle Park
Jung Hoo Lee H+R+RBI OVER 1.5 strong
✓ In lineup (5th) Opp D: #3/30 HRR allowed (4.88/g) Opp SP: Foster Griffin (L) · 2.68 ERA · 1.03 WHIP · 8.5 K/9 Hit rates (OVER 1.5): 55.9% SZN · 40% L5 · 30% L10 (93 g)
“Jung Hoo Lee has went over 1.5 HRR 100% of the time in his L5 & L10 games. He's at a 61% hit rate for HRR on the season and put up 4 last night. The National's bullpen has thrown 16 IP over the last 3 games (league avg 12.50), which puts them as overworked.”

How Game Research works

Daily, hand-picked MLB betting notes. Each game entry has the analyst's take plus one or more pick angles (a player, prop, line, and direction). Every angle is enriched with live context:

Lineup status

✓ In lineup means the player is in the official posted lineup (with batting-order spot). ~ Predicted is our projected spot before the card posts. Not in lineup yet means neither is available.

Opponent defense (Opp D)

Where the opponent ranks (of 30) in allowing that exact prop to clear the line in the pick's direction. #1–10 = soft matchup (opponent is generous — the card is tinted green); bottom 10 = tough. The per-game rate is shown alongside.

Opposing SP & Form

Opp SP is the opposing starter's season ERA / WHIP / K9. Hit rates show how often the player has cleared this exact line in the pick's direction — Season, last 5 games (L5), and last 10 games (L10). Confidence (lean / strong) reflects the analyst's conviction.

History & Performance tabs

The History tab lists every published pick with the player's actual stat and a graded result (win / loss / push; void when the player didn't play, pending until the game goes Final), filterable by date, result, confidence, and prop. The Performance tab rolls those grades up: win rate over the last 7 / 30 days and all-time, plus breakdowns by confidence, direction, prop, side, and day.

Research is informational, not financial advice. Always gamble responsibly.