Top Unders
Players going under props at 75% or higher (closing-line rate)
Loading...
How Top Unders Works
What is this?
Top Unders surfaces players who consistently come in under their prop lines at a high rate this season. It scans today's available props and ranks players by their best individual closing-line under rate.
Two key metrics
| Closing-line under rate | The percentage of games where the player's actual stat came in below the closing line for this prop — the primary ranking metric |
| vs today's line | How the player's season average compares to today's listed prop line — positive means today's line is set above the season average, making the under more attractive |
Current settings
| Min Under Rate | 75% — only props going under at this rate or higher are shown |
| Min Games | 10 games — players need at least this many graded props to qualify |
| Under Odds Range | -300 to +150 — only props with under odds in this range are shown |
Tracked markets
Only these prop markets are tracked for under rates:
| Hits | Under |
| RBIs | Under |
| Runs | Under |
| Total Bases | Under |
| Hits+Runs+RBIs | Under |
| Pitcher Strikeouts | Under |
| Hits Allowed | Under |
| Pitcher Walks | Under |
| Earned Runs | Under |
| Outs Recorded | Under |
Reading the results
| Red bar | The player's best under rate across all qualifying props — wider = higher rate |
| Props list | Each qualifying prop with its line, under rate, record, vs-today's-line badge, and season average |
| Filters | Toggle between All / Pitchers / Batters. Sportsbook defaults to Hard Rock Bet; pick another book, or "All Sportsbooks (best price)" for a cross-book comparison |
Things to know
- Under rates grade the player's actual stat in each past game against that game's own closing line, not today's line
- Closing lines are Hard Rock Bet's last pregame line for each game. Games before the October 2026 switch only have a cross-book consensus close (the most common line across sportsbooks) and are still counted; if Hard Rock didn't post a player's prop for a game, that game has no closing line and is not counted
- Players are sorted by their highest single-prop under rate
- A positive "vs today's line" means today's line is above the season average — favorable for unders
- Settings and tracked markets can be changed in the admin panel
to
—
Qualifying Players
—
Average Under Rate
Loading top unders...