HRR Monger
Qualifying Picks
Near-Miss
Show all evaluated batters
How HRR Monger Works
What it does
HRR Monger picks batters for the H+R+RBI 1.5+ over market using Statcast quality-of-contact and pitcher matchup metrics.
Hard gates (must all pass)
- Batter K% < 28%
- Lineup spot ≤ 7 (confirmed or rolling 7-game projection)
- Batter xwOBA > 0.290
- Opp pitcher xwOBA Allowed ≥ 0.310
- Monger Score ≥ 65.0 / 100
Monger Score
Weighted sum across 12 metrics (6 hitter = 60 pts, 6 pitcher = 40 pts). Each metric is normalized 0-1 by linearly interpolating between a configured floor and target. The card's Score breakdown shows every metric's raw value, normalized 0-1, and points contributed.
Predicted vs confirmed lineups
Confirmed lineups (posted by MLB ~3-4 hours before first pitch) take priority. When unavailable, lineup spot is predicted from the team's last 7 starts. A "(proj)" tag on the lineup pill means the spot is predicted.
Pitcher neutralization
Pitchers with fewer than 50 batters faced this season get league-average values. The pitcher card shows "(neutral)" beside the xwOBA Allowed value when this applies.
Past dates
The date picker lets you review past picks back two weeks. Card outlines: green = OVER, red = UNDER, yellow = PUSH, gray = VOID/PENDING.