0 qualifying ·
0 near-miss ·
Tuesday, May 12, 2026 · History →
How Cold Pitchers Works
What you're seeing
Each card is a starting pitcher whose season Statcast profile suggests they're getting destroyed at the plate. The qualifying section shows pitchers that clear all five thresholds; the near-miss section shows pitchers that clear four of five.
The five thresholds
xERA ≥ 5.00
xwOBA against ≥ 0.350
Hard-Hit % ≥ 45.0%
Barrel % ≥ 10.0%
Whiff % < 20.0%
Pitchers with fewer than 100 Statcast plate appearances are excluded as small-sample. All threshold values are admin-tunable at /admin/systems/cold-pitchers.
Clicking a pitcher card
Opens the matchup breakdown showing each opposing batter's HRR Over% and Runs Under% over the last 5 / last 10 / season. Use this to spot the most likely HRR-over and runs-under bets against the cold pitcher.
Important: both hit-rate columns are colored so green means "the bet you're targeting cashed." Runs columns show Under% (inverted), so a high green Runs cell means the batter has been falling under their runs prop.
Clicking the pitcher's name opens the player detail page instead.
Lineup source
Confirmed lineup when posted. If not posted yet, falls back to that team's most recent completed game's lineup.